Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for Tamworth

Form analyst Matt Jones is confident the wait until the last race will be worth it with a quality gelding set to explode when he resumes at Tamworth.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

TAMWORTH

BEST BET

Race 8, No.2: ICE IN VANCOUVER

He bolted in his first two before excuses in his last placing in the Kosciuszko. He put in a ripper trial to suggest he’s ready to resume in winning fashion.

NEXT BEST

Race 2, No.1: BABY WONG

This Press Statement colt has run in a few Stakes races already in his five career runs including a Magic Millions 2YO Classic race when finishing midfield. This is his race to win.

VALUE BET

Race 6, No.4: DOPPELPUNKT

She’s in a new country stable after running well in much better races in town and at the provincials. She obviously finds this easier.

QUADDIE

Race 5: 2,7,10

Race 6: 4,5,6

Race 7: 1,2,5,8

Race 8: 2

Star jockey Craig Williams heads to Tamworth to partner Total Recall for Paul Messara. Photo: Mark Evans/Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

TRAINER TO WATCH

Cody Morgan can win a stack of races at his home track with Trumped Up, C’mon And Love Me, Levi’s Storm, Satin Ruby, Wren’s Day and Ice In Vancouver.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

Craig Williams comes up to ride one horse, Total Recall, in the Cup. Enough said.

THE INSIDE MAIL FOR TAMWORTH

RACE 1

Trumped Up could kick off a big day for Cody Morgan here. Despite being a non-winner after 14 runs, he’s placed eight times and gets out to 1400m now with the blinkers back on. He’s drawn well so there’s no excuses now. Ourasianprincess has ran second at her past three and from a wide gate she’ll push forward and put herself right into it. With luck she can be in the finish again. Quan has only had four runs so should have more upside than most here and he’ll appreciate the step up to 1400m. Oakfield Tepee is the outsider to consider.

Bet: Trumped Up to win

RACE 2

Baby Wong has already got to Stakes level inside five starts including the Magic Millions 2YO Classic and he’s not been far off in a few of them. He’s done most of his racing in Queensland but has by far the best form in this race. It’s time to win. Sweet Ruby will provide a stiff enough test based on what she’s done to date. She’s peaking here off a dominant last start win at Muswellbrook and gets the dream run from the gate. Zakor is a determined bugger and Blow Dart proved he was the same last time out but do they have the class to beat the other two?

Bet: Baby Wong to win

Trainer Stephen Jones has found an ideal race for Baby Wong to break through. Photo: Simon Bullard/AAP ImageSource:AAP

RACE 3

C’mon And Love Me goes back to 1000m despite sitting off them in a 1200m race last time and she’ll probably appreciate a quicker tempo here to come off and let down. Anselmo has done all but win at his first two runs and also comes back in trip but will be fresh off a 12-week let up and looked comfortable in a lead-up trial. Expect a good run. Written Verse wasn’t breathed on in a trial but it was against two average ones. Her debut run last time in on the Gold Coast was good enough though. Cross Step was fair on debut even though well supported.

Bet: C’mon And Love Me to win

RACE 4

Chocolatier is the class horse of the field but the big weight over a long trip obviously brings him back to them. He ran second here over the same trip last time and is a genuine city-class horse so he’ll make them earn it. Point Counterpoint rises a lot in class but carries 6kg less than the top weight and is a genuine stayer. Ready By Design also loves the trip and won at the provincials last time out and he likes three weeks between runs so they’ve found the key to him. Scorched Land is another last start winner but he either wins or runs out of the placings but he drops 4kg in weight here.

Bet: Quinella 1, 2

Ben Looker partners Ready By Design for Nathan Doyle. Photo Albert Perez.Source:News Regional Media

RACE 5

Levi’s Storm bolted in by six lengths last start and will naturally be supported in a Class 1 here with an ideal gate. It’s hard to knock this horse on the way up. Kingstar Bullet also won a maiden by a big margin two runs back then ran two lengths second last time in a Class 2 so the drop back in grade makes her a good challenger. Manseneta will threaten late after getting a smother in transit but he needs to start improving on his career record. Half Hinch will need luck but can cross them from a wide draw.

Bet: Levi’s Storm to win

RACE 6

Doppelpunkt has run in some handy city and provincial races to date and a new stable change will mean she finds easier assignments, starting off here from a nice draw to put her just in behind the leaders. Solar Panel had a pretty good Queensland campaign and is back in her old stable now but this is a step up in grade so she needs to be at her absolute best to win. They’ve taken the tongue tie off for the first time on Satin Ruby after some near misses at her past two while Kislina will have the last crack at them from off the speed.

Bet: Doppelpunkt to win

Christian Reith will partner Doppelpunkt for new trainer Mark Hatch at Tamworth on Friday. Photo: Joel Carrett/AAP ImageSource:AAP

RACE 7

Craig Williams comes up to Tamworth for just on ride, Total Recall in the cup race. This horse has done more than enough to suggest he can win, even from an awkward gate. Two Big Fari also has a wide draw but he’s arguably the toughest and best competitor in the field and he won’t give up. Wren’s Day has been in top form in Queensland and he’s now back to race on his home track for the first time. This has no doubt been a target race for some time. Petronius is the one they have to run down.

Bet: Exacta 2, 8

RACE 8

Ice In Vancouver looks primed to start off winning from a spell. He got to a Kosciuszko at start three when having excuses. His two wins before that were big ones. Stablemate Casino Lord has won his past two and the wide gate won’t matter too much because he’s a backmarker so look for him late again. Makana doesn’t know how to run a poor one and will no doubt win better races than this as her career goes on.

Bet: Ice In Vancouver to win

Originally published asTamworth tips: Vancouver to put rivals on Ice

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